6 July 2001, 09:32 Commerce revises US May consumer spending to +0.3% from +0.5%
By Andrew Williams
Washington, July 5 (BridgeNews) - In an unusual move, the U.S. Department
of Commerce Thursday announced it has revised U.S. May personal spending growth
to up 0.3%, from up 0.5% as initially reported Monday in the monthly Personal
Income and Outlays report. Commerce said a "computational" error necessitated
the revision.
In a statement, Commerce said personal consumption expenditures (PCE) were
overstated by $12.3 billion. "The error was in...estimates of consumer
purchases of light trucks," Commerce said.
Commerce also said the inflation-adjusted "real" PCE for May has been
revised to up 0.2%, from up 0.3%.
The revision to spending resulted in an adjustment to the personal savings
rate, which was revised to minus 1.1%, after being originally reported at minus
1.3%, Commerce said.
Human and computer error were both behind the initial mistake, according to
Steve Landefeld, director of the Bureau of Economic Analysis at Commerce.
Economists failed to input a seasonal adjustment factor, after which the
department computers put in a default estimate without alerting the compilers
of the report.
Landefeld said the mistake should have been caught in the normal review
process. The Bureau will reassess procedures to make sure upcoming reports are
error free, he said.
An economist at the Federal Reserve Board alerted Commerce to the mistake
Tuesday afternoon, according to Landefeld. The economist had been reviewing the
detailed unit values and prices data included in the report.
Landefeld said the mistake only affected the May report.
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