25 July 2001, 13:41 OUTLOOK Euro area adjusted June M3 up 5.0-6.0 pct yr-on-yr vs 5.4 in May
PARIS (AFX) - Euro zone adjusted M3 money supply growth will be
between 5.0 and 6.0 pct year-on-year in June, compared with 5.4 pct in
May, according to economists' forecasts.
Most economists expect M3 growth to accelerate in June.
Of 16 economists polled by AFX News, 13 forecast a June M3 growth
figure of between 5.5 and 6.0 pct.
One expected the figure to remain unchanged at 5.4 pct, while one
predicted a decline to 5.2 pct and one a fall to 5.0 pct.
The average year-on-year rise for the three month period from April
to June is expected to come in at 5.1-5.4 pct, up from 4.9 pct in March
to May.
No date is set for the figures, but they are usually released
around the 20th business day of the month and are therefore expected
from tomorrow.
The adjusted figures exclude non-residents' holdings of shares and
units in money market funds, but include non-resident holdings of money
market paper and short-term debt securities.
The ECB aims to publish a new fully adjusted M3 series which also
excludes these holdings by the end of the year. It estimates that the
inclusion of these holdings currently inflates M3 growth by around 0.5
percentage points.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved