25 July 2001, 09:30 BoJ's Fujiwara - Unclear if inflation targeting can achieve sustained growth
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - Bank of Japan deputy governor Sakuya Fujiwara
said the bank will carefully review the impact of suggested measures
such as inflation targeting or increased purchases of government bonds
before taking any action.
"It is because monetary policy has already entered unchartered
territory that responsible policymakers are required to conduct a
careful study of all possible favourable effects and negative
side-effects," he said.
Fujiwara said inflation targeting that solely focuses on rising
prices or hikes in outright purchases of government bonds will have
both favourable and unfavourable effects on economic activity.
"If we solely focus on raising prices ... then prices will
eventually start to rise, though we cannot say for sure when it will
start. It is also uncertain whether such a price rise would lead to
sustainable economic growth," he said.
He added that even if an increase in outright purchases of
government bonds had some impact, it "could also lead to an interest
rate rise by increasing risk premiums and so entail the risk of an
adverse impact on the economy".
The central bank has already taken efforts to prevent prices
declining, with the introduction of quantitative monetary policy action
on March 19, Fujiwara noted.
However, the bank will remain open minded in debates over future
monetary action because, "so far, the effects of monetary easing have
not been able to lift economic activity, while prices continue to be
soft," he added.
"Our agony as monetary policymakers lies exactly here," Fujiwara
said.
Asked his opinion on the appropriate level of the exchange rate,
Fujiwara said he was a "fundamentalist", adding that the value of the
yen "should be determined based economic fundamentals."
He added that decisions on the exchange rate are "the jurisdiction
of the Ministry of Finance", downplaying recent suggestions from the
central bank's head of research that these could be included within the
monetary policy remit.
"I think he only said that as a general opinion and has nothing to
do with actual monetary policy," Fujiwara said.
He added that the bank is not allowed by law to provide direct
financing for the Resolution and Collection Corp.
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