23 July 2001, 12:58 Germany's IFO sees no turnaround in economic downtrend, but no recession seen
FRANKFURT (AFX) - Germany's IFO research institute does not expect
the country to slip into recession but a turnaround in the economic
downtrend is not yet in sight, according to Professor Gernot Nerb, head
of IFO's macroeconomic unit.
Nerb said the state of the economy is now at a "low" level, "even
lower than after the Asian crisis" in the late 1990s.
But he said economic conditions are far from those that occurred in
1993 when the IFO business climate index hovered near the 80s.
IFO earlier said the IFO business climate index for June was down
to 89.5 from 90.8 in May and 100.4 in June last year.
He said he there are no signs of recession setting in but 'one
can't see a turnaround" in the meantime.
He declined to say if IFO was changing its economic forecast of 1.2
pct GDP growth for the full year.
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