17 July 2001, 09:13 Forex - Major currencies little changed in Tokyo ahead of BoJ news conference
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - Major currencies were little changed in quiet
midafternoon trade, with market participants reluctant to take fresh
positions ahead of expected comment by Bank of Japan governor Masaru
Hayami, as well as by Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan, dealers
said.
Hayami will conduct at a news conference today, while Greenspan is
expected to speak before the US congress tomorrow.
"I don't think they will discuss major market moving issues. But as
they are the big names, investors seem to be taking a wait-and-see
stance," a forex analyst with a local Japanese bank said.
He said he does not expect that the yen to encounter major selling
pressure against the dollar over the short term.
"With the economic crisis in Argentina, investors cannot turn to
buy the dollar against the yen actively either," he said.
"If this economic crisis spreads to Mexico, the dollar will
encounter selling pressure," he said.
The dealer said currently, the situation in Argentina has "calmed
down" after Buenos Aires announced cuts in spending to reduce the
fiscal deficit. The dealer added that the dollar will be well-supported
at around 124.90 for the time being.
Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa said there will be no discussion
of forex levels at the upcoming G8 summit meeting in Genoa.
"Argentina's economic situation seems to have stabilised so there
will be no need to discuss foreign exchange rates," Shiokawa said, when
asked whether the dollar/yen would be on the G8 agenda.
The dealer said that Greenspan may make comment along the lines of
"downside risk still remains" tomorrow.
"Due to recent good economic data, I don't think Greenspan will use
the term 'deterioration' in his comment," he said.
"But there are still earnings concerns among US firms. I think
Greenspan will likely say downside risk still remains tomorrow," he
said.
The dealer said that currently, investors are not following closely
the developments out of the governing council meeting of the European
Central Bank, with the majority of market participants expecting the
ECB to hold its rates steady this week.
"I don't think ECB officials are unhappy about the current
euro/dollar level of around 0.8500. But, they are unhappy about sharp
moves by the euro," he said.
He said if the ECB decides to cut its rates this week against
expectations, the euro will encounter selling pressure.
"The credibility of the ECB may suffer" as a result of ineffective
signalling of its intentions to the forex markets, he added.
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