11 July 2001, 13:23 Forex - Dollar falls back in early London trade on US equities slump
LONDON (AFX) - The dollar fell back in early trade dented by sharp
overnight falls in US equities, sparking concerns of further declines
in asset prices amid worries over weakening corporate earnings, dealers
said.
A profit warning from Corning hit the US market hard overnight but
an after- hours announcement from Compaq, announcing a reduction in its
earnings forecast along with job cuts is likely to speed up falls at
open today.
Further, fears of a debt default in Argentina had a ripple effect
in Latin America and served to exacerbate falls in the US.
The combined effect of the gloomy corporate earnings outlook and
the emerging market woes weighed heavily on the dollar, dealers said.
US equities futures are already down, dragging the dollar lower
across the board, Halifax economist, Steven Halifax said.
"Some are predicting that US assets will be the first to suffer,"
he said observing that there were very little safe-haven type flows in
favour of the dollar despite troubles in emerging markets.
The negative corporate earnings scenario has the market worried
over the prospects of economic recovery in the US. The whole atmosphere
over global growth prospects has soured and the dollar is taking the
brunt of the change in sentiment, he added.
The euro benefited most from the dollar's stumble, pushing past
0.86 usd after struggling at the mid 0.85 usd level for several days.
There was little by way of local news to spur the euro on with
Germany's final CPI numbers remaining unrevised while a slightly
better-than-expected outturn in German retail sales was comforting
although of little impact, Pearson said.
Meanwhile, calls for the European Central Bank to cut rates to help
euro zone economies continued. This time, it was the Deutsche Institut
fuer Wirtschaftsforschung, one of Germany's leading economic
institutes, which said the ECB should cut interest rates to 2.5 pct
'quickly' to counter the current economic slowdown. The DIW also
slashed its growth forecast for Germany this year to 1.0 pct from 2.1
pct previously.
The call comes at time when the ECB faces heavy critisism for its
complacency.
Sterling and the yen also moved higher against the dollar, both
breaking out of recent ranges.
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