7 June 2001, 13:37 UK April industrial, manufacturing output--OVERVIEW, SNAPSHOTS
-UK Apr industry output -0.1% on mo, -0.8% on yr
--UK Apr manufacturing output -0.9% on mo, unch on yr
--UK Apr manufacturing output well below expectations
--UK Apr manufacturing monthly fall biggest since Aug 1997
--ONS: 0.7 pct pts of UK mfg fall on mo from optical, mobile sector
--UK Feb-Apr industry output -0.8% vs Nov-Jan; unch on yr
--UK Feb-Apr manufacturing output -1.1% vs Nov-Jan; +0.6% on yr
--UK Apr mining, quarrying output +3.5% on mo, -7.6% on yr
--UK Apr utilities output +3.0% on mo, -0.7% on yr
--ONS: UK mfg yrly trend estimate now -2.0% vs prev -0.5%
--ONS: UK industry yrly trend estimate now -2.5% vs prev -2.0%
--UK Mar industry output rev dn at -0.3%/mo, rev dn at unch/yr
--UK Mar mfg output rev dn at -0.4% on mo, rev dn at +0.3% on yr
London, June 7 (BridgeNews) - The global downturn in demand for mobile
phones sent the U.K. manufacturing sector into its steepest monthly fall
in April since 1997, according to figures published by the Office for
National Statistics on Thursday. Manufacturing output dropped 0.9% on the
previous month and was unchanged on the same period a year ago, well below
expectations of a fall of around 0.2% on the month. The ONS said 0.7
percentage points of the fall was made up for by a collapse in the optical
and networking equipment and mobile phones sector.
* * *
Total industrial output in April fell 0.1% on the month and 0.8% on
the year, compared with a revised fall of 0.3% on the month in March and
broadly in line with expectations.
The worse-than-expected manufacturing results prompted the ONS to
dramatically scale back its estimate of the annual trend rate of growth to
a fall of 2.0% from 0.5% last month. The trend for total industrial output
is for a fall of 2.5% on the year.
The figures illustrate how intensely difficult conditions have become
for manufacturers in the light of weaker external demand. The ONS said
respondents to its monthly survey, which forms the basis of these latest
figures, had blamed weaker global demand for mobile phones for the steep
drop in output.
"Due to the downturn in the industry as a whole, globally these are
lower than they would have liked," an ONS spokeswoman said.
The mobile phone sector itself plunged 22.4% on the month in April.
The ONS said output in the first four months of this year had been much
lower than the strong growth recorded throughout 1999 and 2000.
There were also significant falls in other sectors, albeit not as
spectacular. The biggest were in the textiles, leather and clothing sector
and the rubber and plastic products sector.
Stronger-than-expected energy output helped steady the headline figure
for total industrial output but was nowhere near enough to offset the
manufacturing fall. Mining and quarrying output rose 3.5% on the month and
electricity, gas and water output rose 3.0% on the month.
The following are economists immediate reactions to the data.
Mark Miller, economist at Morgan Stanley
"Obviously the manufacturing data was much weaker than expected.
Industrial output was more in line with expectations but these data do
suggest that the bad news from the manufacturing sector is not yet over
even if the wider services sector is better supported. It would suggest
some further easing from the Bank of England in the near term."
Philip Shaw, Economist at Investec
"The manufacturing numbers were not only worse than expected, they
weren dire. It reinforces our belief that the sector is not just in recession
but that it is suffering badly as a result of the slowdown in global
demand and the strength of the pound against the euro."
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