5 June 2001, 12:36 Forex: Euro hits new low in early London trade on Morgan Stanley index changes
LONDON (AFX) - The euro hit a new six-month low of 0.8420 against
the dollar in early trade, pressured by Morgan Stanley index changes,
dealers said.
Chris Furness, senior currency economist at 4CAST said that Morgan
Stanley's overnight comments that it will reduce European government
bonds exposure from 41 pct to 33 pct, represented a huge reduction.
He added: "Morgan Stanley is reducing its European exposure, which
obviously was yet another reason to sell the euro, which hit a new
6-month low this morning at 0.8420 usd."
Analysts at WestLB cautioned that while speculative accounts are
running slight euro short positions, fixed income investors remain
overweight euro relative to their benchmark, which may trigger further
capitulation trades.
They predicted that should Thursday's Irish referendum on the Nice
Treaty end with a 'No' vote, the single European currency would come
under further pressure.
Participants awaited "door-stepping comments" from finance
ministers attendi ng the Ecofin meeting in Luxembourg today.
On economic news, today's euro zone Purchasing Managers Index
services sector fell to a record low of 52.2 in May from 53.0 in April,
according to market sources.
Despite the reading being the lowest in the index's 35-month
existence, the figure shows that the services sector is still
expanding.
Meanwhile, sterling/dollar remained on a downtrend, led lower by a
weaker euro/dollar, ahead of the UK Purchasing Manager Index services
for May.
Sentiment towards sterling/euro remains upbeat as recent economic
data confirmed a strong UK domestic demand, according to analysts.
Today's UK house price survey from Halifax further underpinned
market sentiment as prices showed a seasonally-adjusted rise of 1.5 pct
in May from April and 7.3 pct rise from a year earlier.
The Halifax added that the recent series of mortgage rate cuts had
stimulated the pick-up in house prices since the start of the year.
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