4 June 2001, 14:05 Asia FX Review: EUR/JPY buying supports USD/JPY and EUR/USD
By Masataka Nakamura
Tokyo, June 4 (BridgeNews) - U.S. dollar/yen and euro/dollar moved
slightly higher Monday, helped by active short covering of euro/yen from
short-term players. Pro-euro comments by European and Japanese officials
helped underpinning the tone for the cross to some extent. However,
dealers said that the overall movement was still a minor retracement after
the recent relentless fall.
Early in Monday's session, dollar/yen and euro/yen fell, led by the
selling from U.S. names. Euro/dollar lost ground, on euro/yen selling.
Ministry of Finance International Bureau chief Haruhiko Kuroda said
the euro does not reflect economic fundamentals, adding that euro was too
weak against dollar and yen. Kuroda also mentioned the weakness of euro
would be reversed sooner or later. However, Kuroda's anti-yen rhetoric had
only a minor impact on the market, but still underpinned the tone of the
euro, causing short covering pressures.
The overall move of the forex market was reversed at mid-morning,
after the market met heavy euro/yen short covering pressures below the
101.00 area.
In the afternoon session, euro supportive comment by European Central
Bank President Wim Duisenberg and Bank of England Governor Eddie George
induced some short covering pressures of euro/yen. Japanese names were
noted to be actively buying the euro/yen.
BOE George said he expects the euro to recover. ECB Duisenberg said
that euro has strong potential to rise over time.
Later in the session, dollar/yen rose to a high of 119.58 Monday
afternoon, as inter-bank traders tried to hit stops from the 119.50 area.
Toward the closing, euro/yen short covering also helped underpinning the
pair.
However, dealers mentioned that those movements were basically caused
by short covering rather than creation of fresh euro/yen long positions.
Jitsuo Tachibana, manager for financial products and marketing at Sumitomo
Trust & Banking said that Monday's rise was rather a retracement after a
relentless fall in the euro/yen last week. Tachibana also said that the
market needs strong incentives for a real turnaround for the movement of
the euro/yen
At International Monetary Conferernce, Federal Reserve Board Chairman
Greenspan and Bank of Japan deputy Governor Yutaka Yamaguchi made the
comments, but their comments failed to inspire the foreign exchange
market.
U.S. Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said Monday that he sees little
evidence of emergence of U.S. inflation, adding that inflation is not a
significant problem at the moment. Meanwhile, the Fed chairman also noted
that higher producer costs have not yet been passed on to consumers.
Greenspan also noted the impact of higher energy costs on U.S. inflation
may be greater than thought.
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Yutaka Yamaguchi said that there is
greater uncertainty over the outlook for the Japanese economy, adding that
greater deflationary pressures can not be ruled out. Yamaguchi also
mentioned that h Japanese corporate profits may be deteriorating.
Meanwhile, Yamaguchi also said that BOJ has a limited ability to achieve
inflation goal.
Euro/dollar found some buying from good directional U.S. names out of
Singapore in the 0.8470's and rose to a high of 0.8515.
Stop loss buying at 0.8500, coupled with euro/yen short covering, also
pushed the pair higher.
However, short-term specs were looking to take advantage of
euro/dollar upticks to 0.8530, arguing that no intervention was likely.
They felt that Friday's European and U.S. economic data was unlikely to
change the bearish trend.
Cable traded in a range of 1.4181-1.4207.
Employment levels and business volumes are expected to decline in the
U.K.'s consumer service sector, a survey by the Confederation of British
Industry found. The May survey, published Monday, showed a net 19% of
respondents in consumer services expected to cut employment in the next
three months, up sharply from a net 3% in the previous survey in February.
The net employment balance was the worst since the service sector survey
began in 1998.
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