14 June 2001, 10:04 FED SURVEY: US economic activity "little changed or decelerating"
--Fed says US consumer spending "lackluster"
--Fed: Labor markets continued to ease in latest beige book survey
--Fed says US manufacturing activity decreased or slowed
--Fed says US wage pressures modest
--Fed says non-energy prices generally stable
By Shihoko Goto
Washington, June 13 (BridgeNews) - U.S. economic activity in the April to
May period was "little changed or decelerating," the Federal Reserve reported
Wednesday in its latest summary of U.S. economic conditions. The survey, known
as the beige book, also found that consumer spending was "lackluster"
nationwide, while labor markets continued to ease, the Fed said.
* * *
In a summary of the report, the Fed said evidence from various sectors of
the economy collated by its 12 district banks indicated that manufacturing
activity during the past two months declined or remained weak. Meanwhile, new
construction appears to have leveled off, even though it remained at high
levels. The latest report was prepared by the Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis.
The tone of the latest report is largely unchanged from the central bank's
previous report released May 2, when it said that economic activity was "slow"
and that retailers expected "small gains, at best," in coming months.
Still, the Fed pointed out that the housing sector, which has continued to
be cited as a bright spot in the sluggish economy, remains strong. "Home buying
is generally active," even though "residential construction is mixed," the Fed
said. In contrast, demand for commercial real estate and construction "have
slackened somewhat in several districts."
Manufacturing activity, which many Fed officials have cited as being at
recessionary levels, had decreased or slowed in all districts surveyed, with
some reporting weak new orders and higher inventory levels.
But energy exploration continued to grow across the board, due to high
prices for natural gas and oil, the Fed reported. In particular, the Fed
pointed out that the count of active drilling rigs in the Kansas City district
reached an 11-year high.
There was, however, "only modest pressure" on wages, the Fed reported,
adding that non-energy prices were "generally reported stable."
Meanwhile, "labor markets continue to ease in all districts, although a
shortage of workers is reported for some occupations, the Fed said. "Most
people are looking for work, and hiring is considered easier."
Amid a moderate overall rise in prices, "significant increases are noted in
energy and health care," the central bank stated.
As for the lending activities, the Fed pointed out that "credit quality has
slipped in many districts," notably New York, Cleveland, Richmond, Chicago,
Dallas and San Francisco. Demand for commercial and consumer loans were mixed,
with demand for both rising in New York alone.
The beige book is released every 6 to 8 weeks, shortly before Fed officials
gather for their policy meetings. It serves as a guide for Fed officials as
they debate their decisions on short-term interest rates. Its contents are
likely to be viewed as a leading indicator of what the regional Fed bank
presidents will say about economic conditions at the upcoming June 26-27 Fed
policy meeting.
On May 15, the central banks cut the federal funds target rate by yet
another 50 basis points to 4.00%, bringing down the key interest rate by a
cumulative 250 basis points since January. End
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