12 June 2001, 16:56 US FX Daily Outlook: Euro saved for now by intervention rumors
By Cornelius Luca
New York, June 12 (BridgeNews) - The euro spiked up 80 pips from a new
6 1/2-month low of 84.15 cents to the dollar on incorrect rumors that some
of the smaller European central banks had been in the market to support
the ailing currency. Since the euro zone fundamentals remain weak, with
recent data pointing toward stagflation, the euro continues to provide
good selling opportunities.
* * *
Sterling/dollar benefited from the euro/dollar's bounce and crawled
its way into positive territory from a fresh 15 1/2-year low of 1.3688 on
profit taking.
Euro's rebound was underpinned by Bank of France Governor Jean-Claude
Trichet, who repeated his mantra -- reminiscent of ex-Treasury Secretary
Robert Rubin's strong dollar policy -- that a "strong, solid single
currency is in the best interests of the European economy." He said the
level of the euro remains a key indicator for ECB monetary policy, which
he described as being "balanced" now. Dollar/Swiss franc fell in turn from
a 6 1/2-month high of 1.8068.
Dollar/yen slipped from a 20-day high of 122.08, while euro/yen's
rebound from a four-day low of 102.44 failed to match Monday's 13-day high
of 103.86.
Dollar/Canada rose to a five-day high of 1.5244 on short covering
after apparently bottoming out Monday at a four-month low of 1.5154. Its
recovery was signaled by a bullish reversal signal (doji) on the daily
candlestick chart.
The U.S. event agenda consists of speeches by Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis President Gary Stern in the morning, Federal Reserve Bank of
New York President William McDonough in the afternoon, and Federal Reserve
Governor Edward Gramlich in the evening.
Current Previous Change Global Global
NY open NY close low high
USD/JPY 121.73 121.90 -0.17 121.55 122.08
EUR/USD 0.8472 0.8432 0.0040 0.8415 0.8495
EUR/JPY 103.12 102.85 0.27 102.44 103.40
GBP/USD 1.3768 1.3716 0.0052 1.3688 1.3790
USD/CHF 1.7962 1.8036 -0.0074 1.7930 1.8068
USD/CAD 1.5236 1.5194 0.0042 1.5185 1.5244
AUD/USD 0.5247 0.5216 0.0031 0.5204 0.5255
NZD/USD 0.4184 0.4170 0.0014 0.4166 0.4191
SP.1 1263.50 -2.50 1262.10 1267.50
ND.1 1860.00 -11.00 1852.00 1883.00
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