8 May 2001, 10:42 Europe FX Opening: Summary of overnight moves and what's ahead
London, May 8 (BridgeNews) - The following is a summary of overnight
moves since Europe's close, plus possible leaders for the session ahead:
KEY ISSUES:
* EUR/USD hands back Friday's U.S. jobs data-related gains
* German March manufacturing orders slumped 4.4% on month
* Eichel strikes more cautious note on euro zone outlook
* German April unemployment, U.S. Q1 productivity data due
--Trading on Friday and Monday saw the EUR give up all and more of
Friday's post U.S. employment data gains amid some poor euro zone economic data.
--EUR/USD fell away from its 0.9008 post US jobs report high in US
trading on Friday and, after a generally consolidative session on Monday,
broke to a 5-day low of 0.8888 in late Asian trading on Tuesday.
--Data released on Monday showed that German manufacturing orders
plunged 4.4% on the month in March while euro zone PPI rose by 0.1% m/m
and 4.1% y/y in the same month. Eurogroup chairman Reynders said that euro
zone minister retain a view of "realistic optimism" as regards recent
economic developments in the zone, while German Finance Minister Eichel
said the euro zone may be more vulnerable to slowing growth in the US than
some officials have so far predicted. German unemployment data for April
is released around 07500 GMT. As usual, the data appears to have been
leaked, with a German newspaper at the weekend reporting an unadjusted
125,000 fall in the month.
--U.S. Q1 productivity data are released at 1230 GMT, while Treasury
Secretary O'Neill testifies to the senate at 1330 GMT. A busy day in
Sweden sees the release of April unemployment data at 0700 GMT, while
Nordea present their economic forecast for the country at 0730 GMT.
Riksbank First Deputy Governor Heikensten speaks at 1300 GMT.
--USD/JPY is trading on a volatile footing above Friday's 120.53
8-week low.
The pair was pushed to intraday high of 121.71 in early Asian trading on
by bidding from Japanese trust banks while the JPY was also undermined by
Nikkei losses, the index ending down 240 points on the day. Japanese
household spending fell a real 3.3% on the month in March. Speaking to the
Japanese Diet on Monday, Prime Minister Koizumi promised to pursue
structural reforms "without fear of pain." EUR/JPY traded a 107.70-108.50
range in Asia.
--USD/CHF recovered from Friday's 1.7152 low to hit a 5-day high of
1.7338 in late Asian trading on Tuesday. Swiss retail sales data for
February are released at 0715 GMT.
--EUR/GBP followed the EUR lower elsewhere, hitting a 3-week low
around 0.6175 in US trading on Monday. While cable slipped to an intraday
low around 1.4360 in late Asian trading.
--Short covering took USD/CAD to an 8-day high around 1.5425 in late
US , trading while AUD/USD traded a tight 0.5185-0.5190 range.
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