31 May 2001, 16:54 US FX Daily Outlook: Euro tumbles as ECB intervention fears wane
By Cornelius Luca
New York, May 31 (BridgeNews) - The euro dropped to a fresh six-month
low of 84.65 cents to the dollar and to a 5 1/2-month low of 100.45 yen on
heavy Japanese repatriations. Euro's woes were amplified by the European
Central Bank (ECB) President Wim Duisenberg, who said the bank was only
concerned about the euro's value if it affected prices, a remark which
dampened fears of ECB intervention to support the weakening single
currency.
* * *
ECB vice president Christian Noyer tried some spin control, telling
AFP that ECB intervention to support the ailing euro is a possible option.
But the traders are not going to fall for this hedging attempt, so the
euro remains vulnerable.
Significant euro/yen sales dragged down dollar/yen to a three-month
low of 118.55.
Dollar/Swiss franc replicated with a rally to a six-month high of
1.7968, which brings it closer to the top of the uptrend at 1.8111. As
euro/sterling broke the support of its declining channel on its way to a
fresh six-month low of 0.5970, sterling/dollar was able to limit its
losses to a two-day low of 1.4170. Meanwhile, dollar/Canada marked a
one-week high of 1.5511.
Thursday's U.S. agenda includes speeches by Federal Reserve Bank of
Dallas President Robert McTeer and Cleveland Fed Bank President Jerry
Jordan, alongside the May Chicago purchasing managers report.
One day before the release of the key U.S. jobs data, the euro
remains weak across the board, particularly since continuing evidence of
rising inflation in the euro zone will preclude the ECB from cutting rates
and boosting the regional economy. Dollar/yen remains subject to
euro/yen's swerves.
Current Previous Change Global Global
NY open NY close low high
USD/JPY 119.10 120.35 -1.25 118.55 120.53
EUR/USD 0.8480 0.8570 -0.0090 0.8462 0.8570
EUR/JPY 100.99 103.15 -2.16 100.45 103.13
GBP/USD 1.4188 1.4266 -0.0078 1.4170 1.4266
USD/CHF 1.7936 1.7778 0.0158 1.7783 1.7968
USD/CAD 1.5498 1.5433 0.0065 1.5429 1.5511
AUD/USD 0.5067 0.5125 -0.0058 0.5064 0.5128
NZD/USD 0.4106 0.4170 -0.0064 0.4103 0.4171
SP.1 1254.10 4.10 1250.00 1256.10
ND.1 1804.00 18.50 1784.00 1807.00
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