31 May 2001, 16:20 INTERVIEW Noyer says no reason to foresee rate cut in short term
(full version)
FRANKFURT (AFX) - Christian Noyer, vice-president of the European
Central Bank, said there is "no reason to foresee" further euro zone
rate cuts "in the short term".
In an interview with Agence France-Presse, Noyer said the ECB's May
10 cut in its key rate to 4.50 pct from 4.75 was "an adjustment which
corresponded with the information we had, the prospects we had at that
moment."
"And today I see no reason to foresee other rate changes in the
short term in whatever direction," he said in the interview, which took
place yesterday.
"The economic situation of the United States and that of the euro
zone are totally different. The United States is faced with a brutal
slowdown. The euro zone is faced with a progressive and much more
moderate slowdown.
"I find it hard to understand the idea that everyone should do the
same thing if the situations are different," he said.
Noyer said intervention to support the euro is an "option" which
"exists".
"It is obvious, this option exists for all central banks, and thus
including the ECB, naturally," he said, though he declined to say if
the bank is considering using the option, as it did last autumn.
The euro fell below 0.85 usd this morning for the first time since
Nov 27 and was quoted at 0.8484 usd at 2.08 pm.
Noyer said the euro is bound to rise at some point. "I don't think
there is anyone in the world who doubts that the euro is bound to rise
against the dollar."
Prospects for price stability in the euro zone next year remain
"favourable" despite the current boost in inflation, he said, noting
that the slight acceleration in euro zone M3 in April is not
significant.
Concerning inflation, "what is important for us, is that beyond the
current price rises which are influenced by a certain number of factors
such as oil prices or food prices, prospects for price stability in the
medium term, that is to say very specifically next year, are
favourable," he said.
"The current level of prices is not pertinent for judging monetary
policy, we take it into account only to the extent that it can create
risks of secondary effects," in other words wage claims, Noyer said.
On this point, the ECB believes the situation is under control.
Current inflationary tensions stem principally from the continued
high level of oil prices and a surge in certain food products following
the outbreaks of mad cow disease and foot and mouth disease.
"These should be short-term movements which do not have lasting
effects," Noyer said.
Euro zone consumer price inflation reached 2.9 pct year-on-year in
April, compared with the ECB target of 2 pct.
"Very clearly, the stronger the euro is, the more that helps to
keep prices stable, the more that makes the job easier," Noyer said.
Concerning growth in M3, "for the instant, that signifies nothing,"
he said. "It doesn't change at all the diagnosis we made on May 10,"
when the ECB cut its key rate to 4.50 pct from 4.75.
Noyer said the question of who will succeed Wim Duisenberg as ECB
president is not a "current" concern.
"Mr Duisenberg has an eight-year mandate. If he wants to shorten
it, it is up to him to tell the governments in time for them to reach
an understanding on his successor," the vice-president said.
"So long as he has not given that indication, I consider that the
problem is not current and it is wrong to talk about it," Noyer said.
On his nomination in May 1998, Duisenberg said he did not expect to
serve the full eight years, but he has not said exactly when he expects
to stand down.
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