29 May 2001, 09:48 Forex: Dollar top-heavy in midafternoon Tokyo on lack of follow-through buying
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar turned top-heavy against the yen in
midafternoon trade on a lack of follow-through buying after rallying
earlier on weak Japanese economic data released this morning, dealers
said.
The U.S. currency reached 121.38 yen after the Ministry of Economy,
Trade and Industry data showed industrial output in April fell 1.7 pct
month-on-month, compared with a consensus private sector estimate of a
0.9 pct fall.
But investors became unwilling to accumulate further long positions
in the dollar ahead of the resumption of foreign exchange trading in
offshore markets, dealers said. The U.S. and UK markets were closed
yesterday for a holiday.
"In particular, people wanted to see how the euro will perform
later today in the offshore markets after its slide triggered a strong
appreciation of the yen last week," Hachijuni Bank dealer Naoya Kozu
said.
Investors also refrained from actively buying the U.S. currency
ahead of the release Friday of U.S. non-farm payroll data after U.S.
Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan hinted at possible further rate cuts last
week, dealers said.
"As there is the emerging view that U.S. interest rates may shortly
bottom out of a falling cycle, people just want to know if there will
be a final push in the current cycle," Kozu said.
He expects the dollar/yen to trade in a 118.80-122.00 yen range
this week.
The euro lost strong upward momentum after staging a rebound on
comments by European Central Bank President Wim Duisenberg overnight,
who said intervention to bolster the euro is a possibility, dealers
said.
"It is a weapon in our arsenal," Duisenberg said.
Hachijuni Bank's Kozu said he cannot rule out the possibility of a
resumption in the downtrend of the euro, adding that "intervention,
even if it is carried out, will probably not be able to push up the
euro sharply."
He added: "Rather, intervention may simply create a tangible target
for selling the euro."
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