21 May 2001, 16:44 US FX Daily Outlook: Euro extends losses on MSCI, Ifo fears (part 1)
By Cornelius Luca
New York, May 21 (BridgeNews) - The euro added to its losses from
Friday to hit a six-day low of 87.40 cents partly because Morgan Stanley
Capital International (MSCI) reweighted its global indices this weekend in
favor of U.S. and U.K. stocks and against euro zone assets. Concerns that
this week's Ifo survey of German business sentiment will show more
disappointment after 10 consecutive months of decline also undermined the
single currency.
* * *
Sterling/dollar, which soared Friday on sales of euro/sterling linked
to the MSCI expectations, fell into negative territory on profit taking
but not before it marked a 17-day high of 1.4414. Dollar/Swiss franc
retained most of its gains after climbing to a one-week high of 1.7530,
while dollar/Canada reversed losses from a 17-day low of 1.5315.
Dollar/yen slipped modestly within Friday's range as its consolidation
within the apparently iron-clad range of 120-125 continued unabated. Yen's
gains were supported by the fact that MSCI reduced Japan's weighting by
less than expected.
Monday's event agenda includes speeches by Cleveland Fed Bank
President Jerry Jordan, Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer, Federal
Reserve Governor Edward Gramlich, and St. Louis Fed Bank President William
Poole. In addition, Philadelphia Federal Reserve releases quarterly survey
of professional forecasters.
Euro/dollar remains under selling pressure, with traders bracing for a
test of the year low at 0.8695. Dollar/yen will likely tread water between
the key 122.50 and 124.00 technical levels.
Current Previous Change Global Global
NY open NY close low high
USD/JPY 123.20 123.50 -0.30 123.02 123.80
EUR/USD 0.8748 0.8808 -0.0060 0.8740 0.8820
EUR/JPY 107.79 108.75 -0.96 107.68 108.88
GBP/USD 1.4368 1.4386 -0.0018 1.4357 1.4414
USD/CHF 1.7508 1.7425 0.0083 1.7402 1.7530
USD/CAD 1.5346 1.5319 0.0027 1.5315 1.5353
AUD/USD 0.5284 0.5293 -0.0009 0.5277 0.5316
NZD/USD 0.4267 0.4280 -0.0013 0.4262 0.4291
SP.1 1295.40 -0.10 1291.50 1298.50
ND.1 1937.00 3.00 1921.00 1954.00
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