21 May 2001, 16:15 Forex: Euro lower midday on lower MSCI weigthing, ahead of German Ifo data
LONDON (AFX) - The euro continued its downward drift in midday
trade still affected by the lower weighting given to European shares in
the key Morgan Stanley Capital Index and ahead of a potentially weak
German Ifo business climate index tomorrow.
"The MSCI re-weighting has had an impact but I think we are
approaching the tail end," Kamal Sharma economist at Commerzbank said.
However, while the adjustment remains negative for the euro, the
net effect has not been huge. The re-allocation of assets in the fund
managing world has already been taking place, he added.
Dealers also expect tomorrow's German Ifo business climate index to
indicate a further decline in sentiment.
"We see it falling below last month's 93.9 mark," Sharma said,
adding that in the past few months the euro has come under selling
pressure ahead of the data.
There is everything to suggest that the figure will be weak, Sharma
said citing soft outturns in German factory orders and industrial
production.
Further, the German tax cuts this year has yet to help consumer
spending while oil prices have started climbing, he added.
Elsewhere, the yen was able to shrug off the MSCI's negative
re-weighting on Japanese stocks largely on the back the rally on the
Nikkei.
Investors also did not react to the Bank of Japan's 'rather
bearish' May bulletin.
The bank stuck to its earlier economic assessment but said that the
economy continues to stay in an adjustment phase in line with sluggish
corporate sector activity.
Meanwhile, the morning's UK trade and public sector borrowing data
had little impact on sterling which received a small boost from its
stronger MSCI weighting, dealers said.
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