2 May 2001, 11:04 Europe FX Opening: Summary of overnight moves and what's ahead
London, May 2 (BridgeNews) - The following is a summary of overnight
moves since Europe's close, plus possible leaders for the session ahead:
KEY ISSUES:
* USD on defensive, but all eyes on euro zone April manufacturing PMI data
* FT reports Germany backs out of EU corporate take-over code
* BOE's George says surprised by weak performance of U.K. economy in Q1
* RBA leaves cash rate at 5.0%, as expected
--The USD remained on the defensive overnight, briefly extending
Tuesday's losses against most of its rivals. But with all eyes on whether
the euro zone's manufacturing purchasing managers' index for April can
remain above the break-even 50-level, the upside on EUR/USD at least may
remain limited.
--As usual, USD/JPY was the focus in Asia. It briefly extended its
recent correction to an 8-day low of 121.60. A combination of
profit-taking and short-covering then pushed the pair back up to 122.22.
But fresh pressure could come from a report in the Financial Times
newspaper that U.S. banks--led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs--are
quietly raising capital to invest in Japan's distressed property and
corporate loans markets. The Nihon Keizai Shimbun quoted Japanese Finance
Minister Shiokawa as saying he was open to the idea of injecting public
funds into financial institutions if it helped them speed up the disposal
of bad loans. On the data front, Japan's monetary base grew at an annual
rate of 1.4% in April, up from 1.2% in March.
--EUR/JPY dipped alongside USD/JPY to an 8-day low of 108.65.
--EUR/USD, in contrast, extended Tuesday's rise to a 5-day high of
0.8947.
But apart from the euro zone PMI data at 0800 GMT, the pair could feel
some heat from a report in the Financial Times that Germany has backed out
of an agreement to establish an EU corporate take-over code. Italian March
producer prices data are due 0700 GMT, ECB's Noyer speaks at 0930 GMT and
the ECB publishes its annual report at 0945 GMT. In the U.S., Fed's Meyer
speaks from 1330 GMT, March factory orders, the April non-manufacturing
NAPM survey and the Chicago Fed's national activity index are all
available from 1400 GMT.
--USD/CHF dipped to a 2-day low of 1.7240 in Asia but remained
cushioned by a firmer EUR/CHF. Swiss April CPI data have just come in a
shade stronger-than-expected at up 1.2% on the year due to higher energy
costs.
Switzerland's manufacturing purchasing managers' survey for April is due
around 1300 GMT.
--Cable nudged a 2-day high of 1.4374 in Asia, but could come under
some pressure from BOE Governor George's admission late Tuesday he was
"surprised by the weak performance" of the U.K. economy in the first
quarter. That said, the International is bidding 1.85 billion GBP for the Le Meridien hotel chain
of U.K.'s Compass. U.K. March consumer credit data are due 0830 GMT and
the CBI's retail sales survey at 1000 GMT.
--USD bloc currencies extended Tuesday's gains. AUD/USD hit an 8-week
high of 0.5212 after the RBA left its cash rate at 5.0%. NZD/USD touched a
6-week high of 0.4215 and USD/CAD brushed a 2-month low of 1.5307. BOC
Governor Dodge said late Tuesday the BOC's policies would boost the CAD in
the "long-term."
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