16 May 2001, 12:25 Europe FX Opening: Summary of overnight moves and what's ahead
London, May 16 (BridgeNews) - The following is a summary of overnight
moves since Europe's close, plus possible leaders for the session ahead:
KEY HEADLINES:
* Markets shift to expect more Fed cuts despite 50 bp move
* USD expected to do well as Fed lifts growth prospects further
* Euro zone CPI, French IP data the focus in Europe
USD remains firm after Fed cut
The USD is trading higher following the Fed's 50 bps rate cut of
Tuesday, which took the Fed funds target to 4.0%. But most of the gains
came in early Asian trading, the decision itself prompting only a muted
reaction.
--The USD was very much focused on equity markets and, as these showed
little reaction to the cut, EUR/USD ended the US session around 0.8780,
unchanged from before the decision. The pair pushed to a 3-day high of
0.8810 in early Asian trading as stops were triggered around the 0.88
figure. However, selling from European names plus US bids in USD/JPY sent
the pair smartly back to an intraday low of 0.8748. USD/CHF came off an
early Asian, 6-day, low of 1.7402 to hit an intraday high of 1.7510.
In a statement following the cut, the Fed hinted strongly that further
cuts may be in the offing, saying the risks are weighted toward economic
weakness rather than inflation. The Fed concentrated on the business
sector in the statement, highlighting the risks to capital spending of
lower corporate profits.
US Treasury Secretary O'Neill said the Fed's rate cuts have created
the prospect for a rebound of the US economy.
Wednesday sees the release of French trade and industrial production
data for March at 0645 GMT and 0650 GMT respectively, plus Italian CPI for
April at 0700 GMT. US CPI data for April is released at 1230 GMT. UK
Average earnings data for March are released at 0830 GMT.
--USD/JPY pushed to a near 3-week high of 124.05 in mainly options
related trade which soaked up offers from Japanese exporters. EUR/JPY was
caught in the middle of EUR/USD's losses and USD/JPY's gains, and edged to
a 6-day high of 108.68. Japanese Finance Minister Shiokawa said current
JPY levels are appropriate and that he is not considering intervention "at
this time."
--USD/CAD fell steadily in US trading to a 3-day low around 1.5450.
Canadian Prime Minister Chretien appeared to let slip a key piece of
Finance Minister Martin's economic update due on Thursday, telling the
House of Commons that the surplus in the 2000-01 fiscal year will be 15
bln CAD.
--The AUD tracked the EUR move for move, AUD/USD dropping from an
early Asian, 3-day, high around 0.5235 to an intraday low around 0.5185. A
US investment bank was prominent among the sellers.
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