10 May 2001, 17:41 Duisenberg says rate cut result of 'somewhat lower' inflationary pressure
FRANKFURT (AFX) - European Central Bank president Wim Duisenberg
said today's surprise ECB interest rate cut was the result of "somewhat
lower inflationary pressure".
"This reduction is to be seen as an adjustment of the level of
interest rates to somewhat lower inflationary pressure over the medium
term," Duisenberg told a news conference.
The ECB cut leading rates by 0.25 percentage points, taking the
minimum bid rate on its main refinancing operations to 4.50 pct.
Duisenberg said this is the appropriate level for interest rates to
guarantee future price stability.
"On the basis of the information available, this is the appropriate
level of interest rates to ensure that the euro area economy will be
able to maintain price stability and thereby contribute to sound
economic growth over the coming years," he said.
Duisenberg said monetary developments no longer pose a risk to
price stability, because M3 growth figures have been distorted upwards
by the inclusion of non-residents holdings of marketable paper. This
distortion has inflated M3 growth rates by around 0.5 percentage
points, he said.
He said there has also been some slowdown in credit growth in
recent months.
Duisenberg said GDP growth is expected to moderate as a result of a
deterioration in the external environment, and this will help contain
upward pressure on consumer prices from the demand side.
Forecasts suggest that actual economic growth will nevertheless be
broadly in line with trend potential growth, supported by domestic
demand, he said. The ECB defines trend growth as 2.0-2.5 pct.
Duisenberg said wage moderation has so far been maintained for the
euro area as a whole and this has been a very positive factor.
He said extraordinary factors pushing up inflation should gradually
diminish over the course of this year, and said this implies "an
improved outlook for inflation to fall below 2 pct in 2002".
He said the inflation outlook is now positive but the ECB
nevertheless needs to remain vigilant.
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