10 May 2001, 16:20 ECB rate cut reflects concern over U.S. slowdown - Commerzbank
FRANKFURT (AFX) - The European Central Bank's surprise interest
rate cut was probably prompted by increasing concern that the euro zone
economy is being negatively impacted by the U.S. economic slowdown,
Commerzbank economist Christoph Hausen said.
Hausen said he was surprised by the timing of the interest rate
cut, because euro zone inflation remains well above the ECB's 2 pct
price stability ceiling. It reached 2.6 pct in March and is expected to
rise to 2.8-2.9 pct in April. "I was surprised with the timing
considering that the price data -- the CPI -- were clearly above the
ECB's 2 pct reference rate. Now it's over 2.8 pct," he said.
"What is decisive in today's move is possibly the very bad figures
that came out of Germany recently -- the manufacturing and industrial
production figures, particularly," Hausen said.
"I think the ECB has become worried over these latest figures
because these showed that the weakness of the U.S. economy is
contagious," he said.
"I had expected that the rate cut would come in the next four to
six weeks," he said.
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