10 May 2001, 11:16 Asia FX Review: Trading stuck in a tight range in Asia
By Masataka Nakamura
Tokyo, May 10 (BridgeNews) - The U.S. dollar moved in a tight range in
listless trading. The selling from Japanese exporters and profit-takers
weighed on the dollar/yen. However, the downside move was halted when the
market faced good dollar bids near the 122.00 area. Weakness of the
Japanese stock market also discouraged the downside movement of the
dollar/yen. Euro trading was lackluster in Asia ahead of the European
Central Bank meeting Thursday.
* * *
Asian Close NY Close Previous Asian Close Asian Range
(1500 JT) (1500ET) (1500 JT) (1500 JT)
USD/JPY 122.21 122.16 121.63 122.03-122.25
EUR/USD 0.8868 0.8852 0.8837 0.8855--0.8871
EUR/JPY 108.40 108.10 107.49 108.14--108.40
Early in the session, dollar/yen dipped from 122.30 to 122.03 as the
Nikkei 225 stock index initially rallied in the face of overnight losses
in the Nasdaq. There was also some selling from Japanese exporters and
profit-takers, weighing on the pair.
Furthermore, dealers said that euro/yen selling and Australian
dollar/yen selling put extra downside pressures on dollar/yen.
However, early strength in the Nikkei proved limited and dollar/yen
was well bid in the 122.00-122.10 area.
The Nikkei 225 stock index hovered in a minus territory from midday,
led by the weakness in the futures market. The weakness of the Nikkei
casts a shadow over the yen, discouraging the downside momentum of the
pair. The Nikkei 225 stock index fell 67.06 points or 0.48% to end at
14,017.79.
Short-term dealers also tried to sell down the pair, to aim at
triggering stops below the 122.00 area. However, those selling were
countered by numerous bids around the 122.00 area.
Jitsuo Tachibana, manager of financial products and marketing
department at Sumitomo Trust & Banking, said that the dollar/yen was well
supported around the 122.00 area, adding that technicals indicate slightly
bullish picture for the pair.
Overall, the performance of the Japanese stock market is being watched
closely to gauge the direction of the dollar/yen. Tachibana at Sumitomo
Trust & Banking said that a limited price action in the Japanese stock
market was responsible for narrow range trading for dollar/yen during the
Tokyo session.
There is talk that good amounts of options with a 122.20 strike are
expiring Thursday and Friday, which contributes to confining the pair in a
narrow range. Delta hedge buying below the 122.20 area and selling below
above the area are seen checking the dollar/yen's movement so far.
Euro/dollar has poked up to 0.8871 on some buying from a large U.S.
bank.
The buying may be aimed at stops in the 0.8870/90 area, but there is some
fresh selling interest at 0.8885 that might slow it down. Dealers are
looking to stay flexible with the ECB meeting coming up. A surprise easing
might initially be seen as positive, but there could be some concern that
the ECB is behind the curve, after recent economic data.
USD/Swiss Franc selling continues to support euro/dollar, with
dollar/Swiss franc falling to 1.7363 after finding a good offer at 1.7393
early Thursday.
Consolidation prevailed across the board. The market failed to find
any major incentives to trade.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill said he expects the U.S. economy
to recover after inventory overhang is cleared. O'Neill added he is
confident on the outlook for U.S. productivity. He said it is important
that Japan returns to its potential economic growth rate, adding that the
speed of economic reform for Japan is for the Japanese government to
decide.
O'Neill also said it was important that Japan achieve "strong, stable
growth" after nearly a decade of stagnation. He welcomed the commitment of
newly elected Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi to economic reforms and
looked forward to "seeing Japan take the steps needed to trigger an
enduring recovery."
Japan's domestic wholesale price index fell 0.7% on the year in
April, dropping for the seventh month in a row, the Bank of Japan said
Thursday. The decline was larger than the average market expectation of a
0.6% drop, but had no impact on the yen.
Japan's Ministry of Finance is considering disclosing more data on
foreign exchange interventions and is negotiating with other nations about
such disclosures, the Mainichi Shimbun reported Thursday. The newspaper
said the negotiations are in the final stage and the MOF will reach a
conclusion this month.
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