5 April 2001, 12:13 The risks in the U.S. economy are still tilted towards further weakness
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Michael Moskow Wednesday
said the risks in the U.S. economy are still tilted towards further
weakness but the economy is not in recession and he expects a second
half rebound. "The U.S. economy is not in a recession but it is clearly
operating below potential," Moskow said in response to a question
following his speech to an economic forum. "This slowdown is mainly in
the high-tech and manufacturing sectors. Other sectors, like housing,
are strong," he said. Moskow also noted continued growth in retail sales
and employment, and said, "It is rare to see employment growing in the
early stages of a recession."
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert McTeer Wednesday
afternoon said he's more than 50% sure the U.S. economy is not headed
for a recession, more or less echoing the Fed theme of the day. On a day
with six Fed speeches, McTeer expressed the same sentiments as fellow
Fed presidents Jack Guynn of Atlanta and Michael Moskow of Chicago,
saying "I'm above 50% sure" the economy is not in recession. "The first
quarter felt a lot like last the two quarters, a little slow," the
Dallas Fed president told an audience of home mortgage bankers in the
Texas capital.
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