3 April 2001, 09:59 The dollar continued to ease against the yen
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar continued to ease against the yen in
the midafternoon session, hit by active profit-taking due to the strong
rebound of the local equity market, dealers said.
The confirmation of a strong top-side resistance near the 127 yen
level, where large option-linked sell orders are said to be placed, was
also weighing on the currency, they said.
Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi chief analyst Koji Fukaya said the 127-128
yen level is an important threshhold for the dollar/yen trade, adding
that "the dollar passed through such a purchasing parity line only once
in recent years."
Dealers said speculation that U.S. monetary authorities are
becoming frustrated about the rapidness of the rise in the value of the
dollar also weighed on the U.S. currency.
However, Finance Minister Kiichi Miyazawa said today he has not
heard of any U.S. officials saying that the strong-dollar policy has
been changed.
Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi's Fukaya said foreign investors were also
seen buying yen to cover short positions ahead of the release tomorrow
of a fresh economic stimulus package by the Japanese government.
"It seems that they are simply trying to hedge outright positions
against any contingency risks that may stem from the package release,"
he said.
The Yomiuri Shimbun reported this morning that the government is
considering a 3-5 year time frame for eliminating bad debt from banks'
balance sheets as part of a broader plan to expedite the resolution of
bad debt problems in Japan.
The Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi dealer, however, said any decline of
the dollar will be limited, citing likely capital outflow by Japanese
institutional investors.
"Just for seasonal reasons, the dollar will see an increase in
demand by Japanese investors in relation to their (year to March 2002)
portfolio management," he said.
The euro was rangebound against the dollar due to a lack of
follow-through selling in the wake of the stronger-than-expected NAPM
data, dealers said.
But Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi's Fukaya said supply drag on the euro
is expected to weaken gradually in line with declines in capital
repatriation by U.S. institutional investors.
"But, as long as structural problems surrounding the euro-zone
countries (remain) a key trading item, the euro is not likely to stage
a sharp rebound," he said.
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