23 April 2001, 09:28 Forex: Euro higher in mid-afternoon Tokyo on rate cut hopes
TOKYO (AFX) - The euro was higher against other major currencies in
mid-afternoon trading in Tokyo, bolstered by renewed expectations that
the European Central Bank may decide to cut interest rates at
Thursday's policy meeting, dealers said.
The speculation surfaced that the International Monetary Fund may
refer to the need for rate cuts in the euro-zone in its report to be
published later this week prior to the G-7 meeting, they said.
"Such speculation may continue to bolster the euro at least until
Thursday's ECB meeting," a Credit Lyonnais foreign exchange dealer
said.
"However, the euro may not be able to rally to beyond the 92 usd
level."
"But, if there is no rate cut on Thursday, the euro will resume a
steep fall once again."
The yen was pushed off its highs on profit-taking, triggered by
expectations that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's policy research
chief Shizuka Kamei may become the party's chief secretary in a new
Junichiro Koizumi cabinet, dealers said.
Earlier, the yen rallied to an intra-session high of 121.40 yen
against the dollar on news that Koizumi expanded his lead over close
rival Ryutaro Hashimoto in the party's presidential election.
"If Kamei takes that key position, we have to worry about delay in
the process of structural reforms, even under a new Koizumi's cabinet,"
the Credit Lyonnais dealer said.
Kamei called for large tax cuts as a core proposal of his policy
platform.
Koizumi, meanwhile, said in an interview with the Nihon Keizai
Shimbun that he may put higher emphasis on economic recovery in the
near-term over structural reforms.
The Credit Lyonnais dealer said that nervous trading is likely to
lock the dollar/yen sector in the 120.50-124.00 range until there is a
firm result in the LDP election.
Some caution may appear and leave the dollar/yen sector
directionless, dealers said, in the run-up to the weekend meeting of
G-7 finance ministers and central bank governors in Washington.
"Remarks by policymakers on their stance towards the yen may
continue to draw close attention," the Credit Lyonnais dealer said.
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