2 April 2001, 12:46 EMU DATA: MAR PMI DOWN 11TH MONTH IN ROW; PRICES DIVE
March overall PMI: SA 51.2
Feb. overall PMI: SA 52.3
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MNS Survey Median for March. PMI: SA 51.8
MNS Survey Range for March. PMI: SA 51.0 to 52.2
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March price index: SA 53.5
Feb. price index: SA 55.8
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FRANKFURT (MktNews) - The purchasing managers' index for
the eurozone fell for the 11th month in a row in March, hitting its
lowest level since March 1999 and indicating that the pace of
manufacturing sector growth continues to slow.
At the same time, the PMI input price index fell sharply in
March, .
The seasonally adjusted PMI manufacturing activity index, based on
data from seven EMU countries, fell to 51.2 in March from 52.3
in February. The reading was at the low end of forecasts in a
Market News International survey of 25 analysts (median: 51.8).
The activity index has declined every month since reaching a peak
of 60.7 in April last year, although the March figure shows that the
economy continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace.
In the process, the index moved closer to the break-even point
between economic expansion and contraction. An index level above 50
indicates that the manufacturing sector is expanding, while a level
below 50 indicates contraction. The higher the index above 50, the
stronger sector growth.
The prices index, which is not part of the overall PMI, fell to
53.5 in March from 55.8 in February. The latest figure was the lowest
reading since June 1999 and the sixth straight monthly decline following
the latest peak of 75.9 in September last year.
Among components of the manufacturing activity PMI, the output
subindex fell to 52.5 in March from 54.1 in February. The latest reading
was the lowest since March 1999.
The new orders index also fell in March, declining to 50.9
from 52.9 in February. This was also the lowest level since March 1999.
Manufacturing employment continued to grow, but at a slower pace,
with the index falling to 51.3 from 51.7 in February.
Delivery times decreased in March, with the index up to 49.9 from
48.7 in February. This signals that the inventory level in some sectors
is weaker than before, which might create room for an eventual upturn of
the economy after it has bottomed out.
Stocks of purchases rose to 50.4 in March from 49.2 in February.
In January, the index fell below 50 for the first time since Jan. 2000.
The eurozone PMI is based on results from Germany, France, Italy,
Spain, Ireland, Austria and Greece and is published by .
Overall, there can be little doubt that a significant slowdown in
the eurozone economy is in progress in a contagion reaction to the U.S.
slump. At the same time, price side pressures are clearly easing in the
eurozone, although not that significantly yet.
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