9 March 2001, 16:18 Forex: Yen remains weak in midday London trade on economic, political woes
LONDON (AFX) - The yen remained under pressure against major
currencies in midday trade with the Japanese government's stimulus
package to kick start the economy seen largely toothless amid the
political uncertainty plaguing the country, dealers said.
Still ahead is the afternoon's U.S. non-farm payrolls which may
jeopardise the dollar's strength, should the data prove much weaker
than consensus forecasts. Conversely, any sign of strength may bolster
the dollar, they said.
"The yen remains in focus although there has not been a rapid
decline," Razia Khan, economist at Standard Chartered said.
There was a small up tick on the yen which did not last very long,
she added.
Despite assertions to the contrary from key officials, the market
still believes the Bank of Japan and the Ministry of Finance remain
split over the handling of the economic situation, she said, adding
that the political rift is worsening the overall outlook for Japan.
There is still talk of Japanese Prime minister Yoshiro Mori
resigning, Khan said.
The Japanese government today announced a package of measures which
analysts largely dismissed as insufficient.
Turning to the key U.S. labour market data, scheduled for release
at 1:30 pm UK time, Divyang Shah, economist at IDEAglobal.com said the
market has been gradually pricing in a weak outturn. "So the risk is
more on the upside, if the numbers are not as weak as expected," he
said.
A stronger number will knock the euro off its perch, possibly to as
low 0.9280 usd, he added.
The euro was well bid, partly due to the yen's weakness all around,
Shah said.
Sterling drew support from the steady euro to hover just under 1.47
usd with 1.50 usd in sight if the U.S. labour market data shows a sharp
decline, Shah said.
There was little impact from the weaker-than-expected UK January
industrial and manufacturing production numbers, he said.
"It is too early to tell from this one piece of news if the U.S.
slowdown is already affecting the UK," he added.
However, Shah noted that independent forecasts for euro zone growth
have been cut, which in turn means that growth in the UK may be under
pressure.
Economists taking part in the European Central Bank's Survey of
Professional Forecasters now expect euro zone GDP to grow 2.7 pct this
year, down from the 3.1 pct estimated in the previous survey.
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