6 March 2001, 17:42 ECB UPBEAT EMU OUTLOOK POST 2002 ASSUMES INVESTMNT/JOB GROWTH
BRUSSELS (MktNews) - The European Central Bank (ECB) upbeat outlook
for robust eurozone growth after 2002 assumes continuing strong
investment and employment growth, a European central banking source said
Tuesday.
ECB President Wim Duisenberg said Monday the central bank's
internal forecast for eurozone growth of "nearly 3% for this year and
next" could be extended to the following year as well.
This is because forecasts for 2002 already provide the basis for
the following year, the source explained. Moreover, high eurozone
capacity utilization levels argue for further solid investment growth.
The further decline in eurozone unemployment, which Duisenberg
predicted could fall below 8% by 2003, will make an additional
contribution to growth, the source said.
In general progressively tightening labor markets are not expected
to pose a problem, except perhaps in France, the sources said.
Over half of French industry firms now report hiring difficulties
according to regular sector surveys. The share is even higher in
construction. The Bank of France has repeatedly argueds for flexible
regulation of overtime hours, in order to ease bottlenecks to expanding
production and so reduce inflation risks.
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