29 March 2001, 11:39 ECB SOURCE SEES EMU 2001 GROWTH ABOUT 2.7% WITH DOWNSIDE RISK
FRANKFURT (MktNews) - The eurozone is likely to post GDP growth
this year of around 2.7%, with risks weighted to the downside, an ECB
source told Market News International on Wednesday.
"We're now clearly around the bottom" of the 2.6% to 3.6% range
indicated by the ECB's staff projections in December, the official said.
Asked to be more specific, he indicated there was "a consensus of
around 2.7%, which I think is about right, but I would attach something
of a downside risk."
Public utterances on eurozone growth by some senior ECB members had
until recently "probably erred a bit too much on the optimistic side,"
he said, but added that "this position now appears to be changing."
The source also played down the chance that the European economy
could slow abruptly to less than 2% growth this year.
"That could only happen if the U.S. collapses. If America goes into
a dramatic, prolonged recession, I think that would drag European growth
with it in a significant way."
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved