12 March 2001, 14:42 GERMANY PRESS: WELTEKE: TOO EARLY TO CUT ECB RATES GIVEN HICP
FRANKFURT (MktNews) - Inflationary pressures in the eurozone have
eased a little, but upward threats remain and it is thus too soon to cut
official interest rates, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council
member Ernst Welteke said in an interview published over the weekend.
"What I said in early February still holds true. The upward risks
to price developments have eased a little, but at the moment upside
risks remain -- including from the oil price effect," Welteke told the
Saturday edition of the daily Westfalen-Blatt.
"In February, eurozone HICP rose 2.6% y/y after 2.2% y/y the
previous month," Welteke said. "That is why it would be premature for
interest rates to move in the other direction already."
Welteke's comments underscore the impression that the ECB will
maintain its current wait-and-see attitude for some time.
Welteke avoided a question on the foreign exchange rate of the
euro, refusing to predict when it would rise to parity. "No central
banker and no economist can predict that," he said. "The exchange rate
is a currency's price, set by the free play of market forces, and
expressed in another currency."
So many aspects were involved in this process that it is impossible
to give a clear cut answer on when euro-dollar returns to parity, he
said.
Welteke also repeated that exchange rate fluctuations have not
increased since the introduction of the euro and again noted the
fluctuations of the deutschemark against the dollar between 1985 and
1995. "Today's fluctuations are clearly smaller," he said.
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