8 February 2001, 10:50 Europe FX Opening: Summary of overnight moves and what's ahead
By Bridge News
London--Feb. 8--The following is a summary of overnight moves since
Europe's close, plus possible leaders for the session ahead:
KEY ISSUES:
* EUR retreats on profit-taking, O'Neill, Moskow say no recession
* JPY down as Nikkei hits lowest since Oct. 1998, Japan Q3 GDP revised
down * GBP unsettled as UK PM Blair firms date for EMU decision * German
December industrial production
--The EUR came under profit taking pressure in late US trading
overnight and ended Asian trading well below Wednesday's highs against the
USD, JPY and GBP.
The USD extended its gains against the JPY and staged a recovery against
the CHF. Japanese Q3 GDP data was revised down, though household spending
data for Q4 was moderately encouraging. Cable dropped sharply ahead of the
MPC and on speculation a decision on UK EMU entry is getting closer.
--EUR/USD dropped off Wednesday's 0.9351 high in US trading to hit
0.9278 as the profit takers stepped in and dropped to 0.9259 in late Asian
trading.
Pressure may also have come from comments by US Treasury Secretary O'Neill
and Fed's Moskow suggesting the US is not in a recession. German final CPI
for January was unchanged from the preliminary 0.5% m/m and 2.2% y/y
rises. German industrial production for December is due later in the day.
--EUR/JPY was carried lower in the move, touching the 107.80 region.
However, the JPY came under pressure on a CIA report that the North Korean
regime could collapse, plus a downward revision to Japan's Q3 GDP data.
The cross recovered to the 108.42 region while USD/JPY was carried to a
1-week high of 116.57. Japan's Q3 GDP was revised down to a 0.6% m/m fall
from the initially reported 0.2% q/q rise. This was countered however, by
a 0.2% q/q consumer spending rise in Q4, to give a 2.1% y/y gain. However,
the Nikkei ended the day down 227 points, having touched its lowest level
since Oct. 1998.
Both pair and cross dropped in the Asian afternoon on persistent selling
from Japanese banks. USD/JPY dropped to 116.02 while EUR/JPY fell back to
107.55.
--Cable was hit hard by aggressive selling from a UK account in late
US trading, hitting a 2-week low around 1.4500. Position squaring ahead of
today's MPC decision plus PM Blair's statement that the government will
assess EMU entry in the first 2 years of the next parliament likely played
a role. The interest rate decision will be announced at 1200 GMT.
--USD/CHF pulled off Wednesday's 1.6440 low to hit 1.6560 in late
Asian trading as the EUR lost ground. The KoF Q4 review is released during
the day.
--AUD/USD was pressured by a surprise 3,500 rise in unemployment in
January and dropped to a 9-day low around 0.5415 on heavy selling from a
major local trading bank.
--USD/CAD dropped off a 2-week high around 1.5145 on profit taking to
hit a 2-day low around 1.5075.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved