5 February 2001, 10:11 Japan Dec leading econ index at 50.0, vs Nov index at revised
By Reiko Mizutome, BridgeNews
Tokyo--Feb. 5--Japan's index of leading indicators, which shows
economic condition 2 to 6 months ahead, stood at 50.0 in December,
compared with a revised 30.0 in November, the Cabinet Office announced
Monday. Also, the index of coincident indicators, which roughly shows
current economic conditions, stood at 71.4 in December, compared with 30.0
in November.
* * *
The leading index was at the critical 50.0 "boom-or-bust" level in
December, after dropping below the level in November for the first time
since May.
If the leading index stays above 50.0 for three consecutive months,
the economy usually enters an expansion phase within the following 3
months, according to the Cabinet Office. An index below 50.0 signals
economic contraction, while that above the level indicates economic
expansion.
Also, the coincident index was above the critical 50.0 level in
December, after dropping below the level in November for the first time
since April 1999.
Moreover, the lagging index, which shows the state of the economy 6
months to 1 year earlier, was at 50.0 in December, up from (revised) 42.9
in November.
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