27 February 2001, 17:38 REPEAT:FED KOHN SEES NO SIGN OF BOE HAVING DEFLATIONARY BIAS
LONDON (MktNews) - The US Federal Reserve's Director of Monetary
Affairs Donald Kohn said Monday that while he could not detect any signs
of a deflationary bias in the Bank of England's Monetary Policy
Committee's decision-making process, it was a legitimate question to ask
given that inflation in the UK has undershot its target for 22 months in
row.
Kohn, who at the BOE's request undertook a review of the structure
of the MPC, was asked whether he had seen any sign of a deflationary
bias by members of Parliament's Treasury Select Committee at a hearing
to discuss his report.
Kohn said, "I did not note that questions were skewed to a
particular interest," referring to discussions at pre-MPC meetings
between committee members and BOE staff and regional agents.
He said the process was "an honest attempt to figure out where
inflation is going" and what it takes to bring it to its 2.5% inflation
target.
But Kohn admitted that it was a very legitimate question to ask
whether there was anything in the decision-making process that has led
to RPIX inflation undershooting its target for so long. January data
showed RPIX dropping to an annual rate of 1.8% -- the lowest level since
comparable records began.
He said, "I can't put my finger on it," adding that he thought the
MPC had been surprised by a number of things such as the strength of the
pound.
Asked what he thought about the inflation target being kept at
2.5%, Kohn said, "I am not sure where the 2.5% came from. It is
something that would be reviewed over time but not something that ought
to change on a year-by-year basis."
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