13 February 2001, 18:12 U.S. funds raise domestic 2001, 2002 GDP growth forecasts - Merrill Lynch
LONDON (AFX) - U.S. fund managers have upgraded their domestic GDP
growth forecasts for 2001 and 2002, with 18 pct expecting a stronger
economy over the next 12 months compared with 7 pct in January,
according to the February edition of the Gallup survey commissioned by
Merrill Lynch.
The survey found U.S. fund managers have raised their GDP growth
forecasts to an average 3.2 pct from 2.1 pct for 2001 and 3.6 pct in
2002 after the Fed's interest rate cut of 100 basis points.
However, the survey also found this optimism was coupled with a
warning by fund managers that corporate earnings growth is not likely
to recover until 2002.
A net 58 pct expect corporate earnings to suffer over the next 12
months and have downgraded EPS growth forecasts to 2.9 pct from 4.9 pct
in January, the survey found.
A net 24 pct of U.S. fund managers believe domestic equities are
overvalued, which may be explained by the expectation of slow earnings
growth, the survey found.
The survey combines the opinions of 32 U.S. fund managers who
together manage 2.42 trln usd of funds.
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