9 January 2001, 10:58 Europe FX Opening: Summary of overnight moves and what's ahead
Continuing EUR weakness was the dominant theme in overnight trading,
the single currency losing out to the USD, GBP and JPY. Losses against the
JPY came despite a 257 point fall in the Nikkei. The USD made little
upside progress despite weakness elsewhere as US equities closed on a soft
note.
--EUR/USD hit a 5-day low of 0.9435 on selling from US investment
banks and IMM related fund managers which took out stops at 0.9460.
--EUR/JPY slid to a 5-day low of 109.22 on position squaring. The move
came despite a 257 point fall in the Nikkei. Also, comments from the MOF's
Kuroda, who again called the strengthening of the EUR "a good thing," and
that it should keep strengthening against the USD and JPY, had little
impact. Kuroda added that he is confident Japan can reach its 1.7% GDP
growth target in fiscal 2001-2.
Euro zone economic data released on Tuesday includes October retail
trade figures plus corrected Nov PPI data. German December unemployment
data, due for release today, was reported by the Bild Zeitung to have
risen an unadjusted 163,700, with the unemployment rate up at 9.3% from
8.9% in November.
--EUR/GBP drifted to a low around 0.6310, the GBP continuing to find
support from Lafarge's purchase of Blue Circle. Cable, which dipped to an
early US low around 1.4930, consolidated around the 1.4950 figure.
--USD/JPY hit a low of 115.60 in early Asian trading, and was only
able to pull back to the 116.10 region, despite Nikkei weakness and
Kuroda's comments.
--USD/CHF pushed to a 4-day high of 1.6135.
Former vice chairman of the US Fed, Alice Rivlin, said the Fed will
"almost certainly" cut rates again at it Jan 30-31 FOMC
The economists of Ford, Chrysler and General Motors forecast slowing
sales in 20001, but said they do not expect a US recession.
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