8 January 2001, 14:21 UK financial services optimism stable in Q4 2000 - CBI/PWC
LONDON (AFX-UK) - Business confidence in the UK financial services
sector remained stable in the fourth quarter of 2000, according to a
survey by the Confederation of British Industry and
PriceWaterhouseCoopers.
According to the survey, a positive balance of 2 pct of companies
were more optimistic than three months ago, down from a balance of plus
3 pct in September, and down on a positive balance of 21 pct in the
fourth quarter of 1999.
It further noted that the financial services sector has seen a
surprisingly strong rise in business volumes in the last quarter, with
business volumes rising at the fastest rate since March 2000.
According to the survey, 45 pct of firms said business volumes were
up, while 15 pct said they were down. The resulting balance of +30 pct
compares with a balance of +13 pct in September and +52 pct at the same
time a year ago.
However, profitability rose at a much slower rate than was either
reported or expected in the last survey, it said.
There was significant variation across the sectors, with general
insurance reporting strong growth and securities houses reporting a
sharp fall.
It further noted that most sectors now expect a fall over the
coming three months, consistent with the squeeze on margins.
Firms said employment grew modestly and expect a further small
increase in the first quarter of 2001, with declines in bank and
building societies to be offset by growth in general and life insurance
and fund management.
Sudhir Junankar, CBI associate director of economic analysis, said:
"Financial service firms were surprised by the buoyancy of business
volumes, but they expect this to ease in the early part of this year.
With profits set to come under pressure, business confidence is just
holding steady."
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