5 January 2001, 15:19 Forex: Euro rangebound in midday London trade but uptrend intact
LONDON (AFX) - The euro was rangebound in the midday trade but with
its upside intact ahead of the U.S. labour report scheduled for release
at 1.30 pm UK time.
The dollar weakness story has become entrenched and the day's
labour market data could further reinforce the view that the U.S. is
indeed heading for a hard landing despite the FOMC's best efforts,
dealers said.
In any case, the Fed's aggressive rate cuts is only likely to bear
fruit some time ahead, they said.
"The trends are fairly well set now, for dollar weakness in the
medium term," Ian Gunner, economist at ABN Amro said.
The concerns over the outlook for the U.S. economy is only likely
to solidify after the non farm payroll numbers are out, Steve Pearson,
economist at Halifax added.
The euro was also underpinned by the European Central Bank's
decision to keep rates steady yesterday while overnight losses on Wall
Street further dampened sentiment on the dollar, dealers said.
Sterling was more volatile, first gaining on the dollar in tandem
with the euro's resumed climb but later falling back on expectations
that the Bank of England may next week move to cut interest rates.
Opinion is divided because domestic economic data has been
relatively robust, Pearson said.
Sterling's appreciation against the dollar has been based on
narrowing interest rate differentials, a cut in UK rates now will mean
a move in the opposite direction, he added.
The yen continued its poor run with concerns that overseas Japanese
companies will be reluctant to repatriate profits adding to its woes.
It had already been weakened by comments from Finance Minister Kiichi
Miyazawa who dismissed the possibility of intervention. He instead
suggested that the government remains comfortable with the sell off on
the yen
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