4 January 2001, 17:33 US FX Daily Outlook: Dlr/yen, euro/dlr recoup losses tied to rate - part 3
USD/JPY recovered from an 8-day low of 113.57 to hit a 2-day high of
114.71 on signs of political instability in Japan, technical support and
talk that a major options play near 115.05 was expiring today. Gains in
USD/JPY were aided by gains in EUR/JPY as well.
The pair was supported by at lackluster performance in the Nikkei as
well as reports that only 1.1% of Japanese citizens want PM Yoshiro Mori
to retain his office after the July election.
The pair halted its advance at 114.70, upside target of a Gann
50-point pivot. Next good resistance is at 115.08, the matching highs of
Dec. 29 and Jan. 2. The Dec. 29 high marked a 16-mo high.
The outlook is bullish.
Support: 114.20 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 113.70/114.70), 113.57
(overnight low), 112.90 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 112.40/113.40),
111.60 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 111.10/112.10), 110.35 (Gann
50-point pivot; targets: 109.85/110.85), 112.74 (20-day moving average).
Resistance: 114.70 (upside target of 114.20 Gann 50-point pivot),
114.71 (overnight high), 115.08 (Dec. 29 and Jan. 2 highs; 16-month high),
116.10 (target of bull flag formed since Nov. 3), 116.40 (Aug. 13, 1999,
peak).
* EUR/JPY helped pave the way for gains in EUR/USD as it recovered from a
9-day low of 105.28. The cross-currency rebounded on short covering and
the EUR's natural recovery after the Fed rate cut, as well as on mounting
signs of political instability in Japan.
A German account was a noted buyer. Resistance is at 108.80.
The outlook is mixed to slightly bullish.
Support: 105.28 (overnight low), 104.86 (support line rising since
Dec.
12), 103.25 (20-day moving average), 97.76 (200-day moving average), 97.73
(200-day moving average), 96.53 (60-day moving average).
Resistance: 108.80 (overnight high), 109.48 (Jan. 3 high; 10 1/2-month
high), 111.99 (Feb. 23 peak).
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved