30 January 2001, 18:06 US Jan consumer confidence at 114.4 vs Dec revised 128.6
--Conf Board: US Jan confidence at lowest level since Dec 1996
--US Jan present situation index 170.5 vs Dec revised 176.1
--US Jan expectations index 77.0 vs Dec revised 96.9
--Conf Board: Expectations index at levels seen prior to recession
--Conf Board: Confidence drop doesn't signal econ run out of steam
--Conf Board: Further confidence erosion to spur more worry on econ
By BridgeNews
New York--Jan. 30--The Conference Board reported its U.S. consumer
confidence index (1985=100) fell sharply in January to 114.4, its lowest
level since December 1996, from a revised 128.6 in December. The
expectations index also plunged, falling to 77.0 from a revised 96.9 in
December and is now at levels "normally seen prior to a recession," the
Conference Board said.
* * *
"Consumers' increasing pessimism about the short-term outlook has sent
the Expectations index into territory normally seen prior to a recession,"
said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board's Consumer Research
Center.
"But consumers' assessment of current business and labor market
conditions, while declining, does not yet suggest the economy has
completely run out of steam," she said.
Confidence in January came in far below the consensus forecast of
126.0.
Meanwhile, the present situation index fell to 170.5 in January versus a
revised 176.2 in December, previously at 177.0. The expectations index
plunged to 77.0, versus a revised 96.9 in December, previously at 95.8.
"Since apprehension leads to caution and cautious consumers spend less
than confident ones, confidence levels in February will be carefully
watched.
Further erosion in consumer confidence will create more serious concerns
about the overall health of the economy," Franco said.
Consumers' assessment of current conditions was less positive than in
December. The percentage of consumers labeling business conditions as
"good" fell to 34.8% from a revised 40.8% in December. Those rating
conditions as "bad" rose to 10.8% from 9.5% in December, while the
percentage of those claiming jobs were hard to get rose to 12.8% from
12.4% in December.
Consumers were much less optimistic about the short-term outlook. The
proportion anticipating conditions to worsen rose sharply to 15.7% from a
revised 10.1% in December, while the percentage of consumers expecting an
improvement in business conditions fell to 12.4% from a revised 16.9% in
December.
The monthly consumer confidence survey covers a representative sample
of 5,000 US households. End
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