29 January 2001, 15:28 Forex: Dollar extends losses against the yen in midday London trade
LONDON (AFX) - The dollar weakened further against the yen in
featureless midday trade, with many participants reluctant to take
fresh positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate
decision, analysts said.
Mark Henry, currency analyst at GNI, said the yen's upward momentum
was more flow-driven as opposed to actual economic news and was only a
temporary reprieve.
"Recent data is mixed at best. The underlying picture hasn't
changed. The Japanese economy still has desperate trouble," he said.
Henry added the dollar's failure to break above 120.00 yen also
undermined the currency.
The latest economic news was discounted. Japanese industrial
production rose 1.5 pct in December from November, the Ministry of
Economy, Trade and Industry said. The figure was higher than consensus
estimates of a 1.2 pct rise.
The Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting remained the dominant
focus, and its outcome should provide near-term direction for the
market. Many analysts forecast the central bank to cut short-term rates
by 50 basis points.
Meanwhile, euro/dollar held a soft tone, hovering around 0.9200 usd
ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank rate decision. No change in
policy is expected, according to analysts.
In the UK, sterling traded within a range between 1.4640 to 1.4560
usd. If the Fed eases rates by 50 basis points Wednesday, analysts
expect sterling to weaken, taking its cues from euro/dollar.
But from a long-term perspective, GNI's Henry said sentiment for
sterling was positive. "The UK economy in general is outperforming the
U.S. That should help sterling," he said.
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