26 January 2001, 17:45 * USD/JPY was almost flat after touching a 3-day low of 116.33.
The pair was ready to start the U.S. session negative and clinging to the 20-day
moving after at 116.77. Overnight, support at 116.35 held. That level is
the downside target of 116.85, Gann 50-point pivot.
BOJ Gov. Masaru Hayami changed his tune from last week, saying he
isn't particularly concerned about the JPY exchange rate. Last week,
Hayami said the yen is too weak. Finance minister Kiichi Miyazawa said the
U.S. economy slowdown may cut Japan's growth by 0.4-0.6%.
Japanese econ data made no splash:
* Preliminary January CPI for the Tokyo metropolitan area came in at
100.5, down 0.4% year-on-year, and unchanged from the previous month. The
nationwide December CPI figure also was down 0.2% year-on-year and
unchanged from the previous month.
* Sales by major Japanese retailers in December totaled 2.571 trillion
yen, down 5.4% yer-on-year, after adjustment for the number of stores.
* Domestic production of autos in Japan for December came in up 4.7%
year-on-year to 807,506 vehicles. It was the first increase in two months.
Next support is at 116.35, downside target of 116.85 Gann 50-point
pivot.
The outlook is mixed to bearish.
Support: 116.35 (downside target of 116.85 Gann 50-point pivot),
116.33 (overnight low), 115.50 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets:
115.00/116.00), 114.20 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 113.70/114.70).
Resistance: 116.77 (20-day moving average), 117.00 (overnight high),
116.85 (Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 116.35/117.35), 118.25 (Gann
50-point pivot; targets: 117.75/118.75), 119.00 (38.2% Fibonacci
retracement level of the August 1998-December 1999 downtrend), 119.65
(Gann 50-point pivot; targets: 119.15/120.15), 119.90 (Jan. 18 high;
18-month high).
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