18 January 2001, 15:34 Forex: Euro recovers in midday London trade as dust settles on O'Neill remarks
LONDON (AFX) - The euro moved back above 0.94 usd in midday trade,
recovering from yesterday's depressed state largely on technical
reasons and ahead of the European Central Bank's interest rate
decision.
The dust is finally beginning to settle on U.S. Treasury Secretary
nominee Paul O'Neill's endorsement of the U.S. government's
long-standing strong dollar policy which had initially depressed the
euro. Today's reversal indicates that any selling may have been
overdone, analysts said.
"There is no fundamental reason for the rise. It is largely
technical after yesterday's selling," Razia Khan, economist at Standard
Chartered said.
At the same time, few expect the ECB to cut interest rates at its
meeting today, she said, noting that the decision is likely to be a
non-event.
The biggest move on the day was on the dollar/yen cross in the wake
of the O'Neill testimony.
"It looks like the dollar/yen cross is going for a new range," Khan
said.
The dollar closed in on the 120 yen level after reaching 17 month
highs of around 119 yen.
Further appreciation may not come rapidly, however, unless there is
more signs of weakness in the Japanese economy, Khan added.
Sterling moved lower after a modest 0.1 pct monthly rise in
December retail sales volumes disappointed the market.
The AFX News median of analysts' forecasts was for December sales
volumes to have risen a seasonally-adjusted 0.4 pct from November and
4.5 pct year-on-year.
Despite this, the data did not change the benign tone seen in the
UK indicators for the week, analysts said.
Elsewhere, the Swiss franc was firmer across the board, aided by
corporate related flows.
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