18 January 2001, 14:33 UK'S BCC says strong sterling still weighs on manufacturing sector
LONDON (AFX) - The recovery in UK manufacturing continued to make
slow progress last quarter, with exporters remaining under pressure
from the strength of sterling and intense competition, according the
latest quarterly survey from the British Chambers of Commerce.
The survey, covering 7,528 companies, showed that manufacturing
home sales rose by 15 pct, which compares to the quarterly increase of
12 pct in the third quarter 2000.
Manufacturing orders rose 12 pct in the fourth quarter from 11 pct
in the previous quarter, driven by the improved performance of micro
and small-sized firms.
Manufacturing export sales, however, remained virtually flat at six
pct, while orders slumped seven points to zero growth in the last
quarter, BCC said.
The survey also showed a rebound in service sector UK sales to 35
pct in the fourth quarter from 30 pct in the third quarter, as well as
an increase in orders to 31 pct in the fourth quarter from 23 pct in
the third quarter.
However, indictors remain below the peaks recorded in 1996/1997.
Looking forward, Ian Fletcher, BCC's chief economist said, "The
recent fall in the trade weighted value of sterling should offer some
relief to hard-pressed manufacturers, but intense competition will make
it difficult for them to restore margins."
"Manufacturing is particularly at risk from a slowdown in U.S.
growth and preemptive action is needed from the Bank (of England) to
help bolster confidence and investment in the sector."
53 pct of manufacturing firms reported exchange rates as their main
concern. Worries about competitive pressures in the service sector also
increased by seven points to 40 pct of firms in the last quarter.
The balance of service sector firms intending to raise prices has
increased to 32 pct from 23 pct, but pressure from pay settlements
remains below recent peaks and there are signs that the labour market
has stopped tightening.
BCC further noted that pressure on manufacturers' prices from
rising raw material costs stabilised in the last quarter, but pay
settlements are a growing concern in this sector.
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