11 January 2001, 15:45 BoE holds repo -- 2 (IoD welcomes decision; sees rates at 5 pct by yr-end)
The Institute of Directors welcomed the MPC's decision to leave
interest rates unchanged at 6 pct.
A cut today would have seemed too much like a panic reaction to
last week's U.S. cut, argued Ruth Lea, head of the IoD's policy unit.
However, she does expect an easing in rates this year in response
to a slowing economy.
She expects rates to fall to around 5.5 pct by the summer and to
around 5 pct by the end of the year.
"Manufacturing output growth remains weak, prices inflation is
still very subdued, earnings inflation seems in control and the housing
market has lost much of its buoyancy", she said.
She does not expect a U.S. recession, though a slowdown may hurt
some exporters.
"Against that Euroland should grow quite well this year and the
stronger euro is welcome news to our exporters," she said. "The gloom
should not be overdone."
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