10 January 2001, 17:48 Fed's Minehan sees moderate U.S. growth in 2001, but downside risks growing
RANDOLPH, MA (AFX) - The U.S. economy should grow moderately in
2001 as a whole, but downside risks "have become more evident" in
recent weeks, according to Cathy Minehan, the president of the Federal
Reserve Bank of Boston.
"I believe the most likely outcome for the economy in 2001 is
moderate growth, that is, in the range of 2-3 pct," Minehan said in a
speech on the 2001 economic outlook to the South Shore Chamber of
Commerce.
Minehan is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee
this year. She will face her first vote on Jan 31 when the FOMC meets
to decide whether further interest rate cuts are needed in the wake of
the surprise half-percentage-point cut in the federal funds rate on Jan
3.
In her speech, Minehan suggested that her views on the economic
outlook became more pessimistic late last year.
"Through mid-December, my own sense was that the economy might be
approaching just the so-called 'soft landing' so often discussed in the
media, although with a growing measure of downside risk," Minehan said.
"I continue to believe moderate growth for the coming year as a
whole is the most likely outcome, but in recent weeks those risks have
become more evident," she said.
Minehan said some of the economic slowdown in the second half of
last year was needed.
In addition, "sources of strength" remain in the economy, she said.
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